Spencer Burton
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Breaking Moore’s Law (in AI)

You’ve probably heard of Moore’s Law—the idea that computing power doubles about every two years. That concept helped shape the pace of innovation in tech for decades. But something wild is happening in AI: it’s outpacing Moore’s Law by a mile.

We’re not talking about a gentle acceleration here. We’re talking exponential on top of exponential. According to new research from METR, the capabilities of AI agents are doubling every 7 months. For comparison, Moore’s Law says 24. That’s more than 3x faster.

From Seconds to Hours… to Months?

Let me give you a sense of how fast this is moving:

  • In 2019, AI could handle tasks that took a human a few seconds—basic stuff, like classifying images or finishing your sentence.
  • Then came GPT-4. Suddenly, AI could manage 8- to 15-minute tasks—editing paragraphs, summarizing meeting notes, even writing decent short articles.
  • Now with reasoning models like Claude 3.7 Sonnet or GPT-o1, we’re seeing AIs quickly handle workflows that take humans nearly an hour—building financial models, responding to complex RFPs, performing deep document review.

At this current rate? These tools could take on month-long human-equivalent projects in seconds by 2030.

Let that sink in for a second.

If you’re in commercial real estate (or any industry, really), the timeline between “just emerging” and “industry-altering” is shrinking fast.

What This Means for Us in CRE

At CRE Agents, we see this trend not as a threat but as a massive opportunity. Our digital coworkers—the AI agents we’re building for real estate teams—are designed to ride this exponential curve.

They’re not static tools. They evolve as AI evolves.

That means:

  • What they do for you today (say, streamlining asset reporting)…
  • Will look totally different in a year (maybe running acquisition models)…
  • And again in five years (who knows—negotiating leases? Executing on entire value-add plans?).

By embedding adaptability into our AI agents, we’re not just keeping up—we’re setting the pace.

What’s Next

If you’re a CRE professional trying to figure out how to harness AI, here’s the key takeaway:

Don’t build for today. Build for where AI is going.

Because it’s going fast. Faster than Moore’s Law. Faster than we expected. And those who prepare for this new tempo will be the ones who thrive in it.

We’re continuing to roll out early access to our digital coworkers, and there’s more coming soon. Stay tuned.

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